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Not sure I understand Trump's movement in the polls

tommyguns2

tommyguns2

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Dec 25, 2010
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1730823338667.png
 
fasttwitch

fasttwitch

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Mar 17, 2011
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Just for fun.. I ran a different simulation based on the early vote results so far in swing states. White suburban women are a huge factor in the early vote. The are coming out to vote in numbers far exceeding men. These are the same people who continued voting for Nikki Hailey 6 WEEKS AFTER HAILEY DROPPED OUT.

20% of white, suburban Republican women in Pennsylvania voted for Hailey 6 weeks after Hailey dropped out.

Seems unlikely that a whole 20% of Republican women are voting for Kamala, but 10% is easy to imagine. But if 20% do break for Kamala, then this election will be a landslide for Kamala. IF, and I mean IF the white suburban Republican women are breaking for Kamala by the same percentage, then the electoral map will look like this, below:


270towin suburban women.png
 
fasttwitch

fasttwitch

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Mar 17, 2011
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Holy fuck.. Trump supporters are calling in multiple bomb threats in blue Georgian counties.
 
fasttwitch

fasttwitch

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In Georgia, there are now 12 bomb threats and counting..

In Arizona now too, the Trumpies are busy calling in bomb threats where Democrats vote.
 
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