It's going to be a mess I think.
Biden has lots of delegates pledged to him from the primaries if he stays in, and my understanding is that if Biden drops out those delegates become free at the convention to vote for whoever the hell they want. I think the convention will be like a bunch of drunk cardinals trying to pick a pope, with round after round of voting, wheeling and dealing behind the scenes, till an eventual winner becomes obvious.
I agree with almost everything you said. But, no matter who runs the election will be razer thin by November. All the polls look one way months out and then tighten up towards November. We can be honest.. The conservatives will vote for Trump , no matter what. And the Liberals will vote for whatever person the Democratic party put in front of them. No matter who it is.RCP betting odds are leaning toward Harris as the nominee. I guess the delegates might choose her if Biden tells his delegates to shift that direction, but she face-planted in the primaries, and doesn't really have a strong constituency. She's definitely not the sharpest knife in the drawer.
Perhaps it's her and she tries to get a VP that will help her carry a state such as PA or WI, which are both leaning toward Trump right now, but not by much.
I've heard that Dem donations have dried up over 50%. I wonder if that continues or if pushing out Biden and bringing in somebody changes things. Hard to believe that any strong candidates want to be considered, as the present Dem party seems to be a mess. Perhaps it's better politically to wait for 2028, and let the Dem party get its butt kicked in November.
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